Friday 22 January 2016

Will the young people of Solihull ever own their own home?




I had the most interesting chat with a mature couple (in their early/mid 50’s) from Catherine-De-Barnes the other day, whilst viewing one of our rental properties nearby. They were viewing with their son, who wanted his parent’s parental blessing. Now I know that isn't the norm, but in this case the parents were going to act as guarantor. We got chatting about the Solihull property market and how they had bought their first property in the town just after they got married in the late 1980’s when they were in their early/mid 20’s. Anyway, we got chatting about how the youngsters of the UK seem to rent more than buy nowadays and from that the conversation covered a number of similar topics. I want to share the highlights of that conversation with you this week.

Their son, like many 20 to 30 year olds in Solihull, desperately wants to own his own property and the parents said he had read an article in the Telegraph recently comparing house prices to earnings for the 20-30 age group today have to spend more of their salary in mortgage payments than any previous generation. The demand for private rental sector accommodation in Solihull is huge. There are in fact 5,242 private rental properties in Solihull at the last count, a considerable amount when you take into account that there are 2,859 council houses in the town. However, let us not forget 41,098 properties are owner occupied (19,556 with a mortgage).

We must acknowledge that private renting does not have the stigma it had a few decades ago and it might just surprise people that even though us Brit’s class ourselves as a nation of homeowners, roll the clock back 100 years and over 75% of people rented their own home (and it was all from private landlords as council housing only started to come in with the ‘homes for hero’s’ after the first World War). It might also surprise you to learn that at the time of the 1971 census, still more people rented than owned their own home.

I have proved time and time again, when looking at the affordability issue, that it is in fact cheaper to buy a property than rent, when one looks at starter homes for first time buyers. 95% mortgages have been available to first time buyers for over four years, whilst better properties in better condition in better areas can be found, terraced houses can be bought for as little as around £110,000 in the Acocks Green area of Solihull (meaning a modest deposit of £5,500 would be required).

When we discussed affordability, I was able to tell them that at the time they bought their first house in Solihull in 1988, the ratio of house prices to salary was 5.34 to 1 in Solihull ... and here was the surprise for both of us, today’s ratio is only 5.23 to 1!

I said I believed there had been a change in cultural attitude towards renting property in Britain and that this quiet revolution was likely to be permanent. In the 60’s, 70’s and 80’s, saving for the deposit and buying a house was the be-all and end-all. Youngsters today have far much more disposal income today than people had in the Callaghan and Thatcher years, but choose to spend it upgrading their mobile phones every 12 months, the newest tablet or PC, a newest 50” plasma LCD TV and two sun drenched holidays a year, than go without and save for a deposit.

Yes, there are horror stories of tenants living in rat infested properties with landlords who charge massive rents and don’t repair their properties. But that is very much the exception as most tenants rent homes of a quality they couldn’t ever to afford to buy. Twenty years ago, if you said you rented a property, you were considered the lowest of the low ... but now it’s the norm.

So with mortgage affordability being well within the bounds of most first time buyers, the level of deposit required for a 95% being surprisingly modest (starting off at £5,500 in Solihull as mentioned above) until we change our attitudes, the UK housing market is slowly but surely turning into a more European model, where people rent for long periods of their life, then eventually inherit their parents properties and subsequently become homeowners themselves, albeit later in life.

Hence, I cannot see the demand for decent, high quality rental properties ever dropping in the next 10 to 20 years, but only ever increasing as the population continues to soar. Just make sure you by the right property, at the price, in the right location. 


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